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Old December 19, 2002, 22:10   #1
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Country Least Likely To Remain Intact
We all know the various countries that have problems staying intact and we all know the countries that seem mostly the same from one end to the other.

Give us your prediction about the next country that will split up. And tell us if it will go the peaceful route( Like Chezhoslavika) or the not so peaceful way (like Yougoslavia.)
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:11   #2
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Indonesia, the violent way.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:12   #3
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The next country that could split will either be Iraq or Indonesia. Indonesia, if nothing is done to ease problems, will crumble. The Armed Forces will become very brutal in keeping the country intact, and slowly but surely it will fall apart and very violently. Hopefully a new leader will rise to power that will prevent that from happening.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:12   #4
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I vote Indonesia, and the not-too-peaceful way.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:14   #5
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Damn that was fast! If the Turks did not clamp down so hard on the Kurds, I would agree about Irak.
Indonesia, at least as far as Sumatra, Bali and Java go, is unlikely to collapse. Every other large island...
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:14   #6
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Britain - peaceful
Italy - peaceful
Pakistan - violent
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:19   #7
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Interesting that for all their problems, India and China seem nowhere near splitting up into their various component nationalities.

Closer to home, if the SNP get a majority in the Scots parliament, propose an independence referendum and win it, I don't really see what anyone could do about it...
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:20   #8
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Canada - peaceful
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:21   #9
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India (well Kashmir at least)-violent

Afghanistan-violent

Indonesia-violent

U.S.- peaceful
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:22   #10
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At present
Germany - peaceful
Italy - peaceful
Russia - peaceful
USA - violent

If this was one hundred years ago
Ottoman Empire
Austria-Hungry
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:23   #11
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Quote:
Originally posted by red_jon
Britain - peaceful
Italy - peaceful
Pakistan - violent
When I was in Italy, some people talked about a north south rift but not to the extent that Italy would split up. but maybe.

Isn't there an Italian here on the forums?
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:24   #12
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Why is Austria so hungry?
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:24   #13
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Quote:
Originally posted by monkspider
At present
Germany - peaceful
Italy - peaceful
Russia - peaceful
USA - violent

If this was one hundred years ago
Ottoman Empire
Austria-Hungry
Is this a joke?

Otherwise explain yourself please.
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Elisa Carrio: No, porque si usted lee bien el Génesis dice que la mujer pisará la serpiente.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:24   #14
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Quote:
Originally posted by Boris Godunov
Why is Austria so hungry?


Must you always make fun of other people's spelling errors?
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:26   #15
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You think Germany's going to fall apart?

I can see Italy, because there is, or has been, a northern breakaway movement, but what independent states would form from Germany?
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:27   #16
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Quote:
Originally posted by Plan Austral


Is this a joke?

Otherwise explain yourself please.
Well for the first two I see Germany breaking up into a bunch of tiny, feuding principalities. They will be called things such as "Brandenburg" and "Hannover". While Italy will break into a number of smaller states, such as "Venice", "The Papal States", and "Parma".
At least that's my take on the geo-political side of things.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:27   #17
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Quote:
Originally posted by monkspider


Must you always make fun of other people's spelling errors?
Only if I can make a slightly-amusing pun out of them.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:27   #18
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:28   #19
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Quote:
Originally posted by monkspider


Well for the first two I see Germany breaking up into a bunch of tiny, feuding principalities. They will be called things such as "Brandenburg" and "Hannover". While Italy will break into a number of smaller states, such as "Venice", "The Papal States", and "Parma".
At least that's my take on the geo-political side of things.
Have you been seeing strange colours on the walls too, since they gave you that pill?
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:28   #20
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monkspider, stop playing EU so much.

Trip, get out, you Ontopicer!

I foresee Apolyton shattering violently due to the Ontopicer/Offtopicer split...
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:30   #21
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:30   #22
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OT till I die!!

Or until I get a bit bored.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:31   #23
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Quote:
Originally posted by Boris Godunov
monkspider, stop playing EU so much.

Trip, get out, you Ontopicer!

I foresee Apolyton shattering violently due to the Ontopicer/Offtopicer split...
There are those of us that use both.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:32   #24
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There are those of us that use both.
Fence-sitters are always the first against the wall when the civil war comes.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:33   #25
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:35   #26
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****, this thread flies, a response or even more per minute.
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Elisa Carrio: No, porque si usted lee bien el Génesis dice que la mujer pisará la serpiente.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:35   #27
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another
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:35   #28
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All countries will eventually fall to the international communist conspiracy.
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:36   #29
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****, this thread flies, a response or even more per minute.
That happens when it gets infested by spam
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Old December 19, 2002, 22:37   #30
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OK to sum up the least fantastic options to me:

1. Indonesia. East Timor set the example and Irian Jaya may be close. Violent.
2. Russia. The chechens already had a taste of independence and Putin policy is exacerbating everyone. Violent.
3. Quebec and Scotland (from what I read in that post) seem like the peaceful possibilities.

Everyone else seems like a far shot.
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