================================================================================ Move #1 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO 1 #..:...#...:..# 1 2 .*...$...$...*. 2 3 ..*...:.:...*.. 3 4 :..*...:...*..: 4 5 ....*.....*.... 5 6 .$...$...$...$. 6 7 ..:...:.:...:.. 7 8 #..:...*...:..# 8 9 ..:...:.:...:.. 9 10 .$...$...$...$. 10 11 ....*.....*.... 11 12 :..*...:...*..: 12 13 ..*...:.:...*.. 13 14 .*...$...$...*. 14 15 #..:...#...:..# 15 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO Elise 0.0.1 0 DDEMPRX Quackle 0.97 0 Elise 0.0.1 played: PREX 8F 26 pts [DDM] Simulation (3 ply) [mean spread / mean winprob / median winprob (# sim)] 001. DEX 8G 22 pts -15.70 / 52.1% / 54.8% (1250) PLAYED 002. PREX 8F 26 pts -16.62 / 51.7% / 54.9% (2080) 003. PREX 8G 26 pts -17.53 / 51.0% / 54.1% (710) 004. PREX 8E 26 pts -18.23 / 50.9% / 54.0% (1120) 005. DEX 8F 22 pts -18.98 / 50.6% / 53.5% (880) 006. PERM 8F 16 pts -20.75 / 50.2% / 52.9% (480) 007. PREX 8H 26 pts -20.78 / 50.0% / 52.8% (720) 008. REDD 8G 12 pts -22.56 / 49.4% / 53.1% (240) 009. DEX 8H 22 pts -21.87 / 49.3% / 53.0% (480) 010. MED 8F 12 pts -24.58 / 49.1% / 52.8% (160) 011. DERM 8G 14 pts -24.70 / 49.0% / 49.9% (160) 012. REX 8H 20 pts -23.14 / 49.0% / 53.2% (160) 013. PERM 8H 16 pts -24.84 / 48.9% / 51.9% (160) 014. REX 8F 20 pts -22.85 / 48.9% / 52.9% (560) 015. DERM 8H 14 pts -24.07 / 48.8% / 53.1% (160) 016. REX 8G 20 pts -23.41 / 48.7% / 52.8% (560) 017. DERM 8F 14 pts -24.64 / 48.7% / 51.6% (160) 018. PERM 8G 16 pts -23.66 / 48.7% / 52.3% (160) 019. REDD 8F 12 pts -25.95 / 48.6% / 53.0% (160) 020. EX 8H 18 pts -25.69 / 48.4% / 52.0% (160) --- 55 different candidate moves simulated / 14460 simulations performed --- Win percentage given up: Elise 0.0.1 0.41 (0.41 avg.) Quackle 0.97 0.00 ================================================================================ Move 1 / rack leave inference data Can't guess leave distribution -- first turn of game! ================================================================================ Move 1 / heat map data / PREX 8F 26 pts -16.62 / 51.7% / 54.9% (2080) A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O 1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.2% 3.0% 0.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 65.4 84.1 69.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.1% 0.9% 3.8% 0.1% 0.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 46.5 66.7 79.6 69.0 84.5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.2% 1.7% 4.3% 0.4% 0.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 55.2 60.1 76.3 40.8 59.2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.7% 2.1% 5.4% 0.4% 2.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 51.7 59.4 66.3 38.0 41.1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.9% 2.6% 5.8% 0.9% 3.7% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 44.5 60.1 66.0 33.1 38.2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 6 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 9.7% 3.7% 6.3% 1.2% 8.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 37.5 58.2 63.4 33.3 36.4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 7 ----- ----- 0.2% 0.2% 1.2% 11.7% 17.1% 45.6% 45.8% 44.7% 26.6% 15.3% 9.1% 5.1% 1.3% ----- ----- 22.4 22.4 36.3 38.3 35.5 33.9 29.3 32.2 33.3 40.1 52.5 69.8 70.9 8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [P] [R] [E] [X] 11.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 36.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 9 0.1% 0.3% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 11.0% 7.2% 18.4% 16.2% 18.5% 9.1% 3.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.6% 70.0 71.2 35.3 38.0 35.8 42.4 49.7 34.5 28.6 31.1 32.9 45.5 55.4 66.9 70.8 10 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 6.3% 3.5% 3.4% 1.3% 4.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 49.3 59.3 58.3 29.6 37.9 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 11 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 4.3% 2.8% 2.5% 0.5% 1.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 56.6 60.6 66.9 46.7 38.2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 12 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 3.5% 2.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 60.1 63.4 73.5 63.0 51.4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 13 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.5% 1.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 64.5 65.0 76.4 60.2 64.2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 14 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.7% 0.9% 1.3% 0.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 66.6 64.9 80.7 70.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 15 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.3% 0.3% 1.0% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 65.9 63.1 86.9 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ================================================================================ Move #2 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO 1 #..:...#...:..# 1 2 .*...$...$...*. 2 3 ..*...:.:...*.. 3 4 :..*...:...*..: 4 5 ....*.....*.... 5 6 .$...$...$...$. 6 7 ..:...:.:...:.. 7 8 #..:.PREX..:..# 8 9 ..:...:.:...:.. 9 10 .$...$...$...$. 10 11 ....*.....*.... 11 12 :..*...:...*..: 12 13 ..*...:.:...*.. 13 14 .*...$...$...*. 14 15 #..:...#...:..# 15 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO Elise 0.0.1 26 Quackle 0.97 0 BEILNQT Quackle 0.97 played: (Keep EILNT) 1A 0 pts [EILNT] Simulation (3 ply) [mean spread / mean winprob / median winprob (# sim)] 001. ELINT 9G 22 pts -46.72 / 39.6% / 42.5% (4320) 002. LIB 9H 18 pts -48.00 / 39.4% / 42.4% (1680) 003. NEB 7H 18 pts -49.12 / 39.1% / 41.9% (1280) 004. BELT 7H 21 pts -48.53 / 39.0% / 40.9% (1280) 005. BEL 7H 20 pts -49.34 / 38.9% / 41.4% (1360) 006. NIB 9H 18 pts -49.28 / 38.8% / 41.2% (960) 007. BE 7H 19 pts -51.38 / 38.6% / 40.7% (480) 008. BET 7H 20 pts -51.15 / 38.5% / 41.7% (480) 009. BENT 7H 21 pts -50.21 / 38.4% / 40.8% (1280) 010. NE 7H 15 pts -55.81 / 37.7% / 39.6% (160) 011. LINT 9H 17 pts -51.96 / 37.6% / 40.0% (560) 012. TIN 9H 16 pts -53.09 / 37.4% / 40.2% (160) 013. BEN 7H 20 pts -54.33 / 37.4% / 40.8% (240) 014. QI 9E 15 pts -52.62 / 37.4% / 38.3% (240) 015. NE|X|T I6 13 pts -54.85 / 37.4% / 39.4% (240) 016. LIT 9H 16 pts -53.35 / 37.2% / 40.2% (240) 017. NET 7H 16 pts -54.94 / 37.1% / 40.2% (480) 018. LI 9H 15 pts -55.68 / 36.8% / 38.4% (160) 019. TIL 9H 16 pts -58.16 / 36.7% / 38.9% (160) PLAYED 023. (Keep EILNT) 1A 0 pts -57.12 / 35.9% / 36.8% (160) --- 62 different candidate moves simulated / 19920 simulations performed --- Win percentage given up: Elise 0.0.1 0.41 (0.41 avg.) Quackle 0.97 3.72 (3.72 avg.) ================================================================================ Move 2 / rack leave inference data Known played 'prex' Significantly more likely than chance: BDFGHJNPRS More likely than chance: BCDFGHJMNPRSW Less likely than chance: AEIKLOTUVYZ? Much less likely than chance: YZ Most likely to least likely: RNEDSGTAIFHCOWMUPBJL?VK[YZ] Average opponent rack is approximately 0.100000 points BETTER than average. Estimated probability of rack leave containing tile: 'A' 'B' 'C' 'D' 'E' 'F' 1x: 12.8% 1x: 5.8% 1x: 8.3% 1x: 16.8% 1x: 24.2% 1x: 10.0% 2x: 0.1% 2x: 0.9% 2x: 2.5% 2x: 0.2% 3x: 0.0% 'G' 'H' 'I' 'J' 'K' 'L' 1x: 16.4% 1x: 8.9% 1x: 10.8% 1x: 5.2% 1x: 2.7% 1x: 4.4% 2x: 0.7% 2x: 0.1% 2x: 0.1% 3x: 0.0% 'M' 'N' 'O' 'P' 'R' 'S' 1x: 7.7% 1x: 31.7% 1x: 8.2% 1x: 6.1% 1x: 54.4% 1x: 16.5% 2x: 0.2% 2x: 1.4% 2x: 3.7% 2x: 1.0% 3x: 0.0% 3x: 0.0% 'T' 'U' 'V' 'W' '?' 1x: 15.8% 1x: 6.5% 1x: 2.8% 1x: 7.9% 1x: 4.2% 2x: 0.5% 2x: 0.1% 2x: 0.0% 2x: 0.2% 3x: 0.0% ("1x" indicates probability of one or more of the specified tile, not the probability of exactly one such tile) ================================================================================ Move 2 / heat map data / (Keep EILNT) 1A 0 pts -57.12 / 35.9% / 36.8% (160) A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O 1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.3% 3.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 66.0 81.2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.9% 4.4% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 67.0 77.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.9% 5.0% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 67.0 75.6 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.5% 6.3% ----- 1.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 67.0 64.8 ----- 39.5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.5% 2.5% 6.9% ----- 3.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 65.5 67.0 64.8 ----- 33.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 6 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 6.9% 2.5% 6.9% ----- 8.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 44.5 67.0 64.8 ----- 31.5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 7 ----- 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 7.5% 13.1% 49.4% 43.8% 46.3% 30.6% 15.6% 10.6% 6.9% 1.3% ----- 70.0 70.0 70.0 70.0 46.6 37.9 36.5 32.1 33.5 35.6 47.2 58.5 73.8 71.0 8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [P] [R] [E] [X] 11.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 33.2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 9 ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% 8.8% 4.4% 29.4% 21.3% 23.8% 10.6% 4.4% 1.9% 1.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 30.0 40.4 38.4 31.5 25.3 27.7 29.5 39.6 57.7 75.5 ----- 10 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 6.3% 0.6% 5.6% ----- 3.8% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 45.7 67.0 49.7 ----- 37.2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 11 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 4.4% 0.6% 3.1% ----- 1.9% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 54.4 67.0 73.2 ----- 40.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 12 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 3.8% ----- 3.1% ----- 0.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 58.7 ----- 73.2 ----- 36.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 13 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% ----- 2.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 68.0 ----- 75.3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 14 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% ----- 2.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 68.0 ----- 75.3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 15 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% ----- 1.9% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 68.0 ----- 80.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ================================================================================ Move #3 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO 1 #..:...#...:..# 1 2 .*...$...$...*. 2 3 ..*...:.:...*.. 3 4 :..*...:...*..: 4 5 ....*.....*.... 5 6 .$...$...$...$. 6 7 ..:...:.:...:.. 7 8 #..:.PREX..:..# 8 9 ..:...:.:...:.. 9 10 .$...$...$...$. 10 11 ....*.....*.... 11 12 :..*...:...*..: 12 13 ..*...:.:...*.. 13 14 .*...$...$...*. 14 15 #..:...#...:..# 15 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO Elise 0.0.1 26 CDDFMRW Quackle 0.97 0 Elise 0.0.1 played: FREMD H6 11 pts [CDW] Simulation (3 ply) [mean spread / mean winprob / median winprob (# sim)] PLAYED 001. FR|E|MD H6 11 pts -31.31 / 45.5% / 45.7% (1450) 002. DR|E|W H6 8 pts -35.92 / 43.6% / 43.8% (1550) 003. D|E|W H7 7 pts -38.48 / 42.9% / 42.4% (480) 004. (Keep R) 1A 0 pts -40.85 / 41.9% / 40.6% (480) 005. F|E|W H7 9 pts -40.40 / 41.9% / 42.2% (480) 006. M|E|W H7 8 pts -40.10 / 41.4% / 40.3% (160) 007. W|E|D H7 7 pts -41.68 / 41.4% / 40.8% (160) 008. D|E|F H7 7 pts -41.60 / 41.1% / 41.8% (480) 009. (Keep MR) 1A 0 pts -42.04 / 40.9% / 39.9% (160) 010. CR|E|W H6 9 pts -41.47 / 40.9% / 41.2% (480) 011. R|E|C H7 5 pts -43.69 / 40.6% / 40.8% (160) 012. D|E|RM H7 7 pts -43.88 / 40.5% / 40.1% (200) 013. F|E|M H7 8 pts -44.49 / 40.4% / 40.8% (160) 014. M|E|RC H7 8 pts -43.41 / 40.2% / 40.6% (160) 015. R|E|DD H7 6 pts -42.14 / 39.9% / 39.6% (160) 016. R|E|D H7 4 pts -45.96 / 39.8% / 39.4% (160) 017. CR|E|D H6 7 pts -45.34 / 39.7% / 40.1% (480) 018. R|E|M H7 5 pts -44.35 / 39.7% / 40.9% (320) 019. M|E|D H7 6 pts -46.10 / 39.0% / 39.6% (160) 020. F|E| H7 5 pts -48.25 / 39.0% / 38.7% (160) --- 33 different candidate moves simulated / 9360 simulations performed --- Win percentage given up: Elise 0.0.1 0.41 (0.21 avg.) Quackle 0.97 3.72 (3.72 avg.) ================================================================================ Move 3 / rack leave inference data Known opponent exchange Significantly more likely than chance: S? More likely than chance: EMNRST? Less likely than chance: ABCDFGHIJKLOPQUVWYZ Much less likely than chance: JQWZ Most likely to least likely: ?EAITNOSRLDGUHBYMPCVKFWQJZ Average opponent rack is approximately 23.900000 points BETTER than average. Estimated probability of rack leave containing tile: 'A' 'B' 'C' 'D' 'E' 'F' 1x: 41.8% 1x: 7.6% 1x: 4.8% 1x: 10.5% 1x: 55.1% 1x: 1.8% 2x: 2.5% 2x: 6.6% 'G' 'H' 'I' 'J' 'K' 'L' 1x: 10.5% 1x: 8.6% 1x: 37.0% 1x: 0.2% 1x: 2.8% 1x: 19.4% 2x: 0.1% 2x: 1.1% 2x: 0.4% 'M' 'N' 'O' 'P' 'Q' 'R' 1x: 6.0% 1x: 33.2% 1x: 31.9% 1x: 5.1% 1x: 1.2% 1x: 24.9% 2x: 0.8% 2x: 0.6% 2x: 0.6% 'S' 'T' 'U' 'V' 'W' 'Y' 1x: 29.9% 1x: 33.9% 1x: 10.4% 1x: 4.0% 1x: 1.3% 1x: 6.5% 2x: 0.7% 2x: 1.3% 'Z' '?' 1x: 0.2% 1x: 96.7% ("1x" indicates probability of one or more of the specified tile, not the probability of exactly one such tile) ================================================================================ Move 3 / heat map data / FR|E|MD H6 11 pts -31.31 / 45.5% / 45.7% (1450) A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O 1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 1.0% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 71.8 70.1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.0% 1.0% ----- ----- 5.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 71.3 70.3 ----- ----- 80.4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.7% 1.2% ----- 0.1% 5.9% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 69.4 64.5 ----- 19.0 80.7 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 3.2% 1.3% ----- 0.1% 6.9% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 66.8 66.1 ----- 15.0 77.2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 5.1% 1.7% ----- 0.1% 7.8% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 63.2 69.1 ----- 15.0 75.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 6 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.6% 4.6% 18.9% 10.0% [F] 13.2% 22.6% 9.4% 7.5% 5.3% 3.2% 3.1% 73.0 73.9 70.4 69.3 67.1 56.1 60.2 56.5 63.4 61.9 65.5 67.5 67.8 67.7 7 ----- ----- 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 13.6% 5.7% [R] 22.1% 32.6% 16.8% 15.4% 14.8% 14.3% 12.1% ----- ----- 78.0 78.0 48.0 56.2 55.8 52.6 60.7 63.1 67.3 69.2 71.1 70.7 8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [P] [R] [E] [X] 13.4% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 68.6 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 9 ----- 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 16.2% 3.7% [M] 11.8% 16.0% 8.6% 7.0% 6.3% 6.2% 4.7% ----- 16.0 58.0 65.8 46.7 57.7 63.5 48.9 60.1 59.7 67.5 72.0 73.0 72.5 10 6.1% 7.7% 8.8% 10.5% 12.1% 28.9% 17.5% [D] 11.0% 14.3% 8.1% 6.5% 4.9% 2.8% 2.0% 68.4 67.4 67.4 66.0 65.8 61.2 62.1 64.3 67.7 65.4 66.6 66.7 67.4 69.2 11 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 11.6% 1.0% ----- 0.1% 3.9% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 63.9 71.9 ----- 78.0 76.8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 12 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 9.8% 0.8% ----- 0.1% 3.2% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 65.3 78.5 ----- 78.0 79.1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 13 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 8.0% 0.4% ----- 0.1% 2.0% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 66.0 76.8 ----- 78.0 79.4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 14 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 5.4% 0.4% ----- 0.1% 0.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 65.2 76.8 ----- 78.0 81.3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 15 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.7% 0.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 66.5 76.4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ================================================================================ Move #4 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO 1 #..:...#...:..# 1 2 .*...$...$...*. 2 3 ..*...:.:...*.. 3 4 :..*...:...*..: 4 5 ....*.....*.... 5 6 .$...$.F.$...$. 6 7 ..:...:R:...:.. 7 8 #..:.PREX..:..# 8 9 ..:...:M:...:.. 9 10 .$...$.D.$...$. 10 11 ....*.....*.... 11 12 :..*...:...*..: 12 13 ..*...:.:...*.. 13 14 .*...$...$...*. 14 15 #..:...#...:..# 15 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO Elise 0.0.1 37 Quackle 0.97 0 ABEILNT Quackle 0.97 played: BIDENTAL 10F 69 pts Simulation (3 ply) [mean spread / mean winprob / median winprob (# sim)] PLAYED 001. BI|D|ENTAL 10F 69 pts -7.14 / 56.3% / 58.9% (1540) 002. |M|IB 9H 18 pts -45.05 / 40.3% / 40.0% (960) 003. |R|EB 7H 16 pts -47.29 / 39.4% / 39.7% (1040) 004. |M|INT 9H 17 pts -49.67 / 39.1% / 39.5% (480) 005. (Pass) 1A 0 pts -51.35 / 38.8% / 37.5% (480) 006. BA|P| F6 13 pts -49.26 / 38.7% / 39.1% (570) 007. |F|IB 6H 14 pts -50.84 / 38.2% / 38.6% (480) 008. |D|EB 10H 12 pts -50.95 / 37.8% / 38.0% (160) 009. |R|E 7H 13 pts -54.58 / 37.7% / 38.2% (160) 010. (Keep AEILNT) 1A 0 pts -51.92 / 37.7% / 38.2% (160) 011. E|M|IT 9G 21 pts -52.74 / 36.8% / 39.7% (160) 012. |M|I 9H 15 pts -55.54 / 36.5% / 36.9% (480) 013. |R|ANT 7H 15 pts -53.99 / 36.2% / 37.4% (160) 014. |M|INABLE 9H 23 pts -55.02 / 36.2% / 37.9% (160) 015. BE|P|AINT F6 19 pts -55.99 / 36.2% / 36.0% (160) 016. |F|AB 6H 14 pts -54.20 / 35.8% / 37.0% (160) 017. BLEA|R| G4 16 pts -56.88 / 35.6% / 36.3% (160) 018. |R|AT 7H 14 pts -58.37 / 35.5% / 36.2% (160) 019. |M|ILNEB 9H 24 pts -56.92 / 35.5% / 35.8% (480) 020. |M|ILT 9H 17 pts -56.38 / 35.5% / 37.0% (160) --- 56 different candidate moves simulated / 11630 simulations performed --- Win percentage given up: Elise 0.0.1 0.41 (0.21 avg.) Quackle 0.97 3.72 (1.86 avg.) ================================================================================ Move 4 / rack leave inference data Known played 'frmd' Significantly more likely than chance: CDFGHJKLMNPRSTVWZ? More likely than chance: CDFGHJKLMNPRSTVWZ? Less likely than chance: ABEIOQUY Much less likely than chance: ABEIOQUY Most likely to least likely: TRNSDLGCVHW?MPKFJZE[ABIOQUY] Average opponent rack is approximately 0.800000 points BETTER than average. Estimated probability of rack leave containing tile: 'C' 'D' 'E' 'F' 'G' 'H' 1x: 13.7% 1x: 20.2% 1x: 5.4% 1x: 6.6% 1x: 19.1% 1x: 13.0% 2x: 0.3% 2x: 1.0% 2x: 0.9% 2x: 0.3% 3x: 0.0% 3x: 0.0% 'J' 'K' 'L' 'M' 'N' 'P' 1x: 6.2% 1x: 6.6% 1x: 19.2% 1x: 7.0% 1x: 30.4% 1x: 6.7% 2x: 0.9% 2x: 3.1% 3x: 0.1% 'R' 'S' 'T' 'V' 'W' 'Z' 1x: 30.4% 1x: 26.3% 1x: 32.2% 1x: 13.5% 1x: 12.6% 1x: 6.1% 2x: 1.9% 2x: 1.8% 2x: 3.1% 2x: 0.3% 2x: 0.3% 3x: 0.0% 3x: 0.0% 3x: 0.1% '?' 1x: 10.6% ("1x" indicates probability of one or more of the specified tile, not the probability of exactly one such tile) ================================================================================ Move 4 / heat map data / BI|D|ENTAL 10F 69 pts -7.14 / 56.3% / 58.9% (1540) A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O 1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 0.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 69.3 71.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 0.1% ----- ----- 1.0% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 69.3 71.0 ----- ----- 82.2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 0.1% ----- ----- 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 59.0 46.5 ----- ----- 70.5 70.2 70.0 78.9 ----- ----- 4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.4% 0.2% ----- ----- 2.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 52.2 36.3 ----- ----- 51.4 85.2 70.7 75.9 ----- ----- 5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.5% 0.2% ----- ----- 3.3% 7.9% 1.9% 0.7% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 47.6 36.3 ----- ----- 48.6 72.0 73.0 68.9 ----- ----- 6 ----- 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 2.8% 2.0% [F] 4.7% 9.8% 10.2% 5.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.3% ----- 66.0 70.0 69.0 68.0 38.2 37.5 36.2 40.4 66.4 59.0 68.5 51.8 67.0 7 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.0% 1.0% [R] 2.7% 7.8% 10.9% 9.3% 5.8% 0.6% 0.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 39.1 23.1 28.7 39.7 64.1 50.3 55.7 60.6 71.7 8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [P] [R] [E] [X] 5.6% 9.6% 25.5% 6.0% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 42.9 69.3 41.3 54.8 ----- ----- 9 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.5% [M] ----- 0.5% 9.6% 40.3% 11.5% 0.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 22.3 ----- 46.6 69.3 34.6 42.4 28.0 ----- 10 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [B] [I] [D] [E] [N] [T] [A] [L] ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 11 2.6% 6.1% 10.5% 13.2% 16.2% 16.4% 12.9% ----- 2.9% 3.4% 13.4% 46.8% 12.4% 1.5% 0.9% 74.1 47.1 39.0 35.9 33.4 33.5 34.5 ----- 31.9 33.2 56.1 33.6 40.9 40.4 49.6 12 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 0.4% ----- ----- 0.3% 4.0% 41.8% 10.7% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 36.0 24.3 ----- ----- 32.0 73.8 33.4 40.7 ----- ----- 13 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 0.1% ----- ----- 0.3% 1.4% 19.5% 10.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 36.0 26.0 ----- ----- 32.0 62.3 39.2 40.6 ----- ----- 14 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 0.8% 10.1% 3.2% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 36.0 ----- ----- ----- 32.0 61.0 44.2 47.0 ----- ----- 15 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 6.4% 0.7% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 64.8 46.0 46.5 ----- ----- ================================================================================ Move #5 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO 1 #..:...#...:..# 1 2 .*...$...$...*. 2 3 ..*...:.:...*.. 3 4 :..*...:...*..: 4 5 ....*.....*.... 5 6 .$...$.F.$...$. 6 7 ..:...:R:...:.. 7 8 #..:.PREX..:..# 8 9 ..:...:M:...:.. 9 10 .$...BIDENTAL$. 10 11 ....*.....*.... 11 12 :..*...:...*..: 12 13 ..*...:.:...*.. 13 14 .*...$...$...*. 14 15 #..:...#...:..# 15 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO Elise 0.0.1 37 CDEEUVW Quackle 0.97 69 Elise 0.0.1 played: WEAVED L8 34 pts [CU] Simulation (3 ply) [mean spread / mean winprob / median winprob (# sim)] PLAYED 001. WE|A|VED L8 34 pts -37.64 / 43.0% / 44.7% (2220) 002. WE|A|VE L8 30 pts -41.27 / 41.4% / 43.4% (1130) 003. W|A|VE L9 20 pts -43.34 / 40.6% / 40.3% (560) 004. W|A|VED L9 24 pts -45.54 / 38.6% / 40.2% (160) 005. C|L|EWED M9 30 pts -48.91 / 37.9% / 38.7% (840) 006. C|A|VED L9 22 pts -50.35 / 37.6% / 39.6% (480) 007. C|A|WED L9 22 pts -51.41 / 37.0% / 38.9% (160) 008. |R|EDUCE 7H 21 pts -51.74 / 36.7% / 39.3% (480) 009. C|A|VE L9 18 pts -50.85 / 36.7% / 39.1% (160) 010. CUED 11D 21 pts -53.47 / 36.6% / 37.6% (160) 011. C|L|UED M9 22 pts -52.03 / 36.6% / 40.0% (160) 012. |R|EC 7H 16 pts -52.91 / 36.1% / 38.3% (160) 013. |F|EW 6H 17 pts -54.66 / 36.0% / 36.4% (160) 014. CUVEE 11B 24 pts -54.25 / 36.0% / 37.9% (480) 015. |R|EV 7H 17 pts -53.84 / 36.0% / 38.0% (480) 016. |R|EWED 7H 20 pts -53.86 / 35.7% / 38.4% (160) 017. CU|P| F6 13 pts -54.60 / 35.5% / 37.5% (160) 018. |T|EWED K10 18 pts -58.99 / 34.9% / 35.3% (160) 019. WEED 11D 23 pts -56.80 / 34.9% / 36.8% (160) 020. WED 11E 21 pts -58.86 / 34.6% / 35.6% (160) --- 61 different candidate moves simulated / 12190 simulations performed --- Win percentage given up: Elise 0.0.1 0.41 (0.14 avg.) Quackle 0.97 3.72 (1.86 avg.) ================================================================================ Move 5 / rack leave inference data Can't guess leave distribution -- last move was a bingo! ================================================================================ Move 5 / heat map data / WE|A|VED L8 34 pts -37.64 / 43.0% / 44.7% (2220) A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O 1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.1% 0.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 67.0 70.7 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.1% 0.3% ----- ----- 1.2% 0.6% ----- 3.7% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 67.0 70.7 ----- ----- 80.0 73.2 ----- 77.5 ----- ----- 3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.1% 0.3% ----- ----- 1.5% 1.1% 0.0% 5.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 50.7 63.9 ----- ----- 70.5 68.2 36.0 66.3 ----- ----- 4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 0.3% ----- ----- 2.9% 1.7% 0.0% 5.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 43.3 63.9 ----- ----- 52.9 54.2 36.0 66.3 ----- ----- 5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.3% 0.4% ----- ----- 4.0% 2.2% 0.0% 5.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 43.3 59.9 ----- ----- 47.0 48.4 36.0 66.3 ----- ----- 6 ----- 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 2.7% 2.0% [F] 5.5% 13.8% 5.5% 2.1% 6.2% 0.8% 0.7% ----- 57.8 60.2 62.3 64.8 42.1 48.7 41.5 40.9 46.6 50.8 64.5 61.7 66.7 7 ----- ----- 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 2.0% 3.6% [R] 4.1% 11.7% 3.7% 0.0% 5.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- 81.0 81.0 33.4 32.9 25.1 20.4 36.6 36.5 36.0 63.8 ----- ----- 8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [P] [R] [E] [X] 10.0% 7.7% [W] 36.2% 30.7% 30.7% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 39.1 34.2 35.1 30.0 30.0 9 ----- ----- 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% [M] 0.1% 1.7% 0.8% [E] 0.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- 13.0 13.0 13.0 22.3 28.7 29.0 32.3 49.6 36.2 ----- ----- 10 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [B] [I] [D] [E] [N] [T] [A] [L] ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 11 3.6% 5.6% 8.4% 10.0% 13.5% 14.0% 9.9% ----- 0.4% 1.4% 4.8% [V] 4.9% 4.2% 3.3% 72.7 57.2 47.5 44.3 39.6 39.4 43.8 ----- 34.0 33.5 23.6 23.4 24.3 23.9 12 ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.3% [E] 7.8% 1.8% 0.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- 62.9 57.0 60.8 56.7 55.6 52.1 47.1 37.6 45.3 51.1 13 ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.2% 2.6% 3.8% 5.1% 11.0% 12.3% 12.3% [D] 14.6% 5.5% 1.4% ----- ----- ----- ----- 65.4 62.9 64.4 60.8 44.9 42.9 42.4 36.5 40.4 46.1 14 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.5% ----- ----- 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% ----- 3.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 33.8 ----- ----- 29.0 51.3 13.7 ----- 25.4 ----- ----- 15 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.0% ----- 2.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 50.5 ----- ----- ----- ----- 13.0 ----- 25.8 ----- ----- ================================================================================ Move #6 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO 1 #..:...#...:..# 1 2 .*...$...$...*. 2 3 ..*...:.:...*.. 3 4 :..*...:...*..: 4 5 ....*.....*.... 5 6 .$...$.F.$...$. 6 7 ..:...:R:...:.. 7 8 #..:.PREX..W..# 8 9 ..:...:M:..E:.. 9 10 .$...BIDENTAL$. 10 11 ....*.....*V... 11 12 :..*...:...E..: 12 13 ..*...:.:..D*.. 13 14 .*...$...$...*. 14 15 #..:...#...:..# 15 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO Elise 0.0.1 71 Quackle 0.97 69 ACGIORT Quackle 0.97 played: FOG 6H 11 pts [ACIRT] Simulation (3 ply) [mean spread / mean winprob / median winprob (# sim)] PLAYED 001. |F|OG 6H 11 pts -16.43 / 52.3% / 52.5% (2100) 002. CAR|D|IO 13I 24 pts -16.92 / 52.2% / 54.3% (4880) 003. |R|AGI 7H 16 pts -17.51 / 51.6% / 52.5% (2290) 004. GO K7 8 pts -18.13 / 51.3% / 51.6% (640) 005. CARGO 11B 20 pts -21.96 / 51.0% / 51.8% (240) 006. |R|AG 7H 15 pts -19.52 / 51.0% / 52.0% (1040) 007. TOG M12 16 pts -19.52 / 50.9% / 52.6% (400) 008. ARGOT 11C 18 pts -20.92 / 50.6% / 51.3% (240) 009. GROA|T| K6 13 pts -21.47 / 50.5% / 52.5% (570) 010. GOT 11E 14 pts -20.88 / 50.4% / 51.3% (240) 011. GO 11E 10 pts -21.08 / 50.4% / 50.6% (560) 012. |R|OC 7H 16 pts -21.72 / 50.3% / 50.8% (480) 013. CORGI 11B 20 pts -20.77 / 50.2% / 51.7% (560) 014. CARGO K4 21 pts -22.08 / 50.2% / 52.1% (560) 015. COAT 11D 18 pts -20.56 / 50.1% / 51.9% (480) 016. AGIO K5 15 pts -21.27 / 50.0% / 51.9% (560) 017. GA|D|I 13J 12 pts -20.61 / 50.0% / 50.8% (240) 018. GOR|D|ITA 13I 22 pts -21.15 / 49.9% / 51.5% (560) 019. GROAT 11C 18 pts -22.54 / 49.7% / 50.5% (560) 020. TRAGI 11B 16 pts -22.87 / 49.7% / 51.4% (160) --- 62 different candidate moves simulated / 25040 simulations performed --- Win percentage given up: Elise 0.0.1 0.41 (0.14 avg.) Quackle 0.97 3.72 (1.24 avg.) ================================================================================ Move 6 / rack leave inference data Known played 'weved' More likely than chance: BCDFGHJKLMNPQTUVWYZ Less likely than chance: AEIORS? Most likely to least likely: OEIANTUSLDGHYRQZBCFJKMPVW? Average opponent rack is approximately 0.100000 points WORSE than average. Estimated probability of rack leave containing tile: 'A' 'B' 'C' 'D' 'E' 'F' 1x: 15.3% 1x: 3.2% 1x: 3.2% 1x: 6.4% 1x: 17.6% 1x: 3.2% 2x: 0.9% 2x: 0.0% 2x: 1.2% 'G' 'H' 'I' 'J' 'K' 'L' 1x: 6.4% 1x: 6.4% 1x: 15.6% 1x: 3.2% 1x: 3.2% 1x: 9.5% 2x: 0.0% 2x: 0.0% 2x: 0.9% 2x: 0.1% 'M' 'N' 'O' 'P' 'Q' 'R' 1x: 3.2% 1x: 13.6% 1x: 17.8% 1x: 3.2% 1x: 3.4% 1x: 5.7% 2x: 0.4% 2x: 0.9% 2x: 0.1% 'S' 'T' 'U' 'V' 'W' 'Y' 1x: 10.4% 1x: 12.6% 1x: 12.6% 1x: 3.2% 1x: 3.2% 1x: 6.2% 2x: 0.3% 2x: 0.3% 2x: 0.3% 2x: 0.0% 'Z' '?' 1x: 3.3% 1x: 2.8% ("1x" indicates probability of one or more of the specified tile, not the probability of exactly one such tile) ================================================================================ Move 6 / heat map data / |F|OG 6H 11 pts -16.43 / 52.3% / 52.5% (2100) A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O 1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.1% ----- ----- ----- 0.0% 2.2% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 67.7 ----- ----- ----- 78.0 59.8 ----- ----- ----- ----- 2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.1% ----- ----- 0.0% 0.6% 6.3% ----- 2.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 67.7 ----- ----- 13.0 33.0 43.0 ----- 75.8 ----- ----- 3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.1% ----- ----- 0.1% 0.7% 8.8% 0.1% 4.0% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 67.7 ----- ----- 16.5 32.8 40.4 36.0 55.7 ----- ----- 4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.1% ----- ----- 0.1% 0.8% 11.4% 0.1% 4.0% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 67.7 ----- ----- 16.5 30.6 38.1 36.0 55.7 ----- ----- 5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.2% ----- ----- 5.5% 6.4% 18.2% 4.0% 6.0% 1.4% 1.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 48.6 ----- ----- 41.4 40.0 38.5 44.1 55.1 64.2 74.4 6 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.6% ----- [F] [O] [G] 12.9% 0.1% 4.0% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 33.3 ----- 37.0 36.0 55.3 ----- ----- 7 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.6% 0.0% [R] ----- 2.0% 3.7% 0.1% 4.2% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 33.3 28.0 ----- 28.0 47.0 36.0 53.9 ----- ----- 8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [P] [R] [E] [X] 2.2% 4.9% [W] 37.3% 33.1% 33.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 25.7 30.9 33.4 30.8 30.8 9 ----- ----- 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% [M] ----- 0.6% 0.3% [E] 0.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- 13.8 14.3 14.3 11.9 21.5 ----- 22.8 30.6 29.7 ----- ----- 10 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [B] [I] [D] [E] [N] [T] [A] [L] ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 11 2.9% 4.7% 7.2% 8.8% 11.1% 11.6% 6.9% ----- 0.1% 0.7% 3.7% [V] 3.7% 2.7% 2.0% 74.7 56.1 46.5 43.3 39.9 39.4 48.2 ----- 32.7 23.9 22.3 22.1 23.6 22.8 12 ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% [E] 6.8% 1.1% 0.4% ----- ----- ----- ----- 64.9 56.4 61.8 59.7 58.9 49.1 44.6 32.6 32.5 33.2 13 ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.5% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 12.2% 14.7% 14.9% [D] 17.8% 7.7% 2.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- 65.6 62.1 64.4 64.3 45.0 40.9 40.5 35.0 37.1 42.3 14 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.5% ----- ----- ----- 0.0% ----- ----- 4.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 27.8 ----- ----- ----- 9.0 ----- ----- 27.3 ----- ----- 15 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.2% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.2% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 26.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 26.3 ----- ----- ================================================================================ Move #7 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO 1 #..:...#...:..# 1 2 .*...$...$...*. 2 3 ..*...:.:...*.. 3 4 :..*...:...*..: 4 5 ....*.....*.... 5 6 .$...$.FOG...$. 6 7 ..:...:R:...:.. 7 8 #..:.PREX..W..# 8 9 ..:...:M:..E:.. 9 10 .$...BIDENTAL$. 10 11 ....*.....*V... 11 12 :..*...:...E..: 12 13 ..*...:.:..D*.. 13 14 .*...$...$...*. 14 15 #..:...#...:..# 15 ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO Elise 0.0.1 71 CEHNTUY Quackle 0.97 80 Elise 0.0.1 played: WYCH 8L 45 pts [ENTU] Simulation (3 ply) [mean spread / mean winprob / median winprob (# sim)] PLAYED 001. |W|YCH 8L 45 pts -23.98 / 49.6% / 49.5% (170) 002. |W|HEY 8L 39 pts -25.02 / 48.9% / 47.4% (160) 003. THY K4 29 pts -29.76 / 45.6% / 37.3% (17) 004. TECHY 11B 33 pts -32.78 / 44.7% / 43.5% (40) 005. |G|UY J6 24 pts -28.76 / 43.6% / 42.6% (80) 006. |W|YTE 8L 30 pts -35.13 / 42.7% / 40.5% (80) 007. CUTEY K2 31 pts -40.64 / 40.8% / 40.8% (80) 008. TECHY K2 37 pts -35.66 / 40.8% / 41.2% (80) 009. THEY K3 31 pts -46.69 / 38.1% / 35.7% (42) --- 63 different candidate moves simulated / 749 simulations performed --- Win percentage given up: Elise 0.0.1 0.41 (0.10 avg.) Quackle 0.97 3.72 (1.24 avg.) ================================================================================ Move 7 / rack leave inference data Known played 'og' Significantly more likely than chance: CDERST? More likely than chance: CDEILNPRST? Less likely than chance: ABFGHJKMOQUVWYZ Much less likely than chance: FJKWYZ Most likely to least likely: ETIRSAO?NLDCGUPVMQBHFKJY[WZ] Average opponent rack is approximately 15.900000 points BETTER than average. Estimated probability of rack leave containing tile: 'A' 'B' 'C' 'D' 'E' 'F' 1x: 37.7% 1x: 2.6% 1x: 16.3% 1x: 18.2% 1x: 73.3% 1x: 1.2% 2x: 5.2% 'G' 'H' 'I' 'J' 'K' 'L' 1x: 13.0% 1x: 2.6% 1x: 48.8% 1x: 0.2% 1x: 0.7% 1x: 21.2% 2x: 0.2% 2x: 0.9% 2x: 0.5% 3x: 0.5% 'M' 'N' 'O' 'P' 'Q' 'R' 1x: 3.8% 1x: 26.4% 1x: 29.7% 1x: 7.1% 1x: 3.1% 1x: 48.8% 2x: 0.2% 2x: 0.5% 2x: 0.2% 'S' 'T' 'U' 'V' 'Y' '?' 1x: 42.2% 1x: 51.9% 1x: 7.3% 1x: 5.4% 1x: 0.2% 1x: 28.8% 2x: 0.5% 2x: 0.7% ("1x" indicates probability of one or more of the specified tile, not the probability of exactly one such tile) ================================================================================ Move 7 / heat map data / |W|YCH 8L 45 pts -23.98 / 49.6% / 49.5% (170) A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O 1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.4% ----- 5.9% 2.4% 3.5% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 51.3 ----- 77.4 81.0 92.5 2 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% 3.5% ----- 11.2% 7.1% 4.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 36.0 42.7 ----- 54.7 77.3 89.1 3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% 4.7% 0.6% 14.1% 7.1% 4.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 36.0 40.9 36.0 51.7 77.3 89.1 4 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% 5.9% 0.6% 14.1% 7.1% 5.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 36.0 37.3 36.0 51.7 77.3 84.6 5 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.9% 3.5% 8.8% 2.9% 15.9% 8.8% 9.4% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 54.8 51.7 43.1 59.2 54.3 76.9 74.8 6 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.2% ----- [F] [O] [G] 6.5% 1.2% 14.1% 7.6% 7.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 26.5 ----- 34.7 22.5 51.7 73.6 74.7 7 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.2% ----- [R] ----- 1.8% 1.8% 0.6% 14.1% 7.6% 8.2% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 26.5 ----- ----- 28.0 59.7 36.0 51.7 73.6 73.8 8 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [P] [R] [E] [X] 1.2% ----- [W] [Y] [C] [H] ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 24.0 ----- 9 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% [M] ----- ----- ----- [E] ----- 5.3% 19.4% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 9.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- 70.3 82.7 10 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- [B] [I] [D] [E] [N] [T] [A] [L] ----- 18.8% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 83.1 11 8.2% 10.0% 12.9% 14.1% 17.1% 17.6% 14.7% ----- 0.6% 0.6% 5.3% [V] 5.3% 2.4% 20.0% 76.3 67.8 57.9 55.3 49.8 49.3 53.4 ----- 32.0 32.0 21.3 21.3 25.5 79.9 12 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% [E] 7.1% 3.5% 18.8% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 36.0 62.0 61.8 61.8 61.8 61.8 42.8 61.8 82.7 13 ----- ----- ----- ----- 2.4% 4.1% 7.1% 7.6% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% [D] 12.4% 5.9% 17.1% ----- ----- ----- ----- 62.5 61.1 66.2 66.6 54.0 54.0 54.0 43.7 56.6 84.0 14 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 0.6% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 3.5% ----- 15.9% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 36.0 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 23.7 ----- 86.3 15 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1.8% ----- 15.3% ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 22.3 ----- 87.3 ================================================================================